I hope everyone had a great Halloween yesterday and as you read this you are in mid sugar rush from consuming all the left over candy and/or candy you stole from your kids trick-or-treat haul! Let’s kick the rankings back into high gear as we push to the fantasy playoffs with some plays this week that will definitely deliver the treats and not the tricks!
Yes I do hate myself for that joke, but we move on, important fantasy takes ahead!
Teams on bye this week; Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants, and Philadelphia Eagles.
The bad news this week is with 6 teams on bye this week it gets a bit thinner at the position, the good news is I can’t imagine you were rolling with anyone out this week besides Carson Wentz and Andy Dalton before this anyway. As the season has now passed the midway point I think we have a better grasp on what each team is doing well offensively and what they are doing poorly. A team that is doing things well currently; the Carolina Panthers.
Cam is my QB1 this week against a Tampa Bay team that has given up the most points per week in the entire league. Carolina and Cam rolled through the top rated defense last week en route to a 36 point day and victory against the Ravens in week 8. Hard to see a scenario where Cam does not keep this train rolling along smoothly at home against a bad defense.
I also love both Jared Goff and Drew Brees in what is going to be a shootout and possibly one of the best games of the season as the Rams take on the Saints. Both teams match up well with one another and I think the offenses will decide this one a bit more than the defenses. I’m starting all my studs from both squads here. This game also has the highest projected total points for week 9 with 60!
Some streaming options for week 9 are Brock Osweiler (sorry Cubbage) at home against the Jets secondary, Marcus Mariota, who I’m hoping used the bye week to get that offense a bit more together for a big prime time showdown with Dallas, and Alex Smith against an Atlanta team that even coming off of a bye is still fairly banged up. Washington’s defense can keep them in this game if Smith can play well, I think he will. This could be a sneaky good game to watch on Sunday.
Okay so let’s just get right to it, yes I have Todd Gurley all the way down at #4. I just think the Saints will be able to slow him down more than any other team we have seen this season. Gurley still has a great day, but I think it could be his lowest total fantasy output for the season. The Saints are going to make Jared Goff beat Drew Brees in this one, and with Cooper Kupp back, he just might. Although with news that Marcus Davenport will miss some time may make this all a mute point.
I also have Adrian Peterson inside the top 10, it’s weird that after last season, he just looked done. I didn’t blame him, he has achieved so much and owed the game of football nothing else. Then 2018 happened. Last week Peterson carried Washington to a win with 2 TDS and 156 total yards in a division win. Atlanta is not going to slow him down much this week. Ranked 26th against the run and a possibly banged up Chris Thompson, fire up AP until further notice as long as the calendar reads 2018.
I also have Aaron Jones at RB 9 this week. With Ty Mont being shipped out to Baltimore and Jamaal Williams being perpetually ineffective, I think it is finally time that even Mike McCarthy has taken notice, Aaron Jones is far and away the best RB on his team. Last week Jones was on the field for 67% of the offensive snaps, the most of 2018, and the most since week 7 in 2017. He also saw his season high in carries (12) and YPC (7.17) last week. In a good match up that the Packers want and need to win, you have to keep Tom Brady off the field! Aaron Jones is the key to the Packers victory in week 8.
With the trades that went down early this week it is a bit harder to figure out precisely how things will shake out at this position week 9 for a few squads. It’s hard to see Demaryius Thomas being a big part of the game plan on such limited practice with his new team, even with the “revenge game” narrative, he may have a few packages around the goal line though and could score a touchdown this week. I love the landing spot for him rest of season, and I can easily see him pull in at least 7 TDs in the next 8 games for HOU with some weak secondary match ups for the rest of season. Golden Tate gets a bye week to get worked into the Philadelphia offense and I am curious to see how he looks with Wentz. Another good landing spot, but probably not going to be good news for Nelson Agholor fantasy manager.
Michael Thomas has not had double digit targets since week 3. And since that time he has only 1 touchdown. The biggest problem of that all is during that period the Saints are 4-0. It’s hard to think the fall off is due to Thomas though, lets look at the games since week 3; a blowout of the Giants, a match up with Josh Norman, facing off with the top ranked BAL defense, and a match up with Xavier Rhoades. The good news this week, Marcus Peters is having a season to forget. This is going to be a game that Brees will lean on his top WR. I think the Rams will get pressure on Drew a lot in this game (even more now that they added Dante Fowler to that defensive line) but he will get the ball out quickly to his top two receiving targets, Thomas and Kamara. This absolutely feels like a get right spot for a WR who is trying to move into the upper echelon of the league, and showing up big in a game against the 8-0 Rams would be the time to do it. I think narrative street will be paved with gold for Thomas in week 9.
Some guys I am really high on this week; Revenge game Brandin Cooks, Carolina crew of Funchess, Olsen, and Moore, John Brown against Joe Hayden, DeSean Jackson and Chris Godwin with Ryan Fitzmagic back under center, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling, who will score his 3rd TD of the season against NE, as he moves into the WR2 role for Aaron Rodgers.
Also real quick since we talked about DT, lets discuss Courtland Sutton for the rest of season. With DT in the line up he has seen AT LEAST 3 targets each game this season, Thomas has had AT LEAST 5 targets in all but 1 game this season. I expect that Sutton sees 50% of DT’s previous targets, giving him closer to 6/7 a game. Given that usage, along with his red zone work all ready (2 TDs already this season), I like his outlook moving forward. Sutton also currently owns a 19.1 YPC average, which is good enough for 3rd overall in the league right now. Fantasy playoff schedule for Sutton…SF, CLE, and OAK.. Buy, buy, buy!
It is to the point that I literally am speechless in this section. I just hate 2018 for TEs in fantasy football. Guys in great spots throwing up goose eggs (RSJ against SF, Njoku and Uzomah both last week in plus match ups), injuries, and more injuries, and only a small handful really being worth the roster spot so far. Also Gronk may currently be one of the worst draft values in a long time at the position. If you took him in round 2 how much are you loving that he has not seen a touchdown or a game over 100 yards since week 1 (which was the last time he saw either in 2018)? Hang in there positive regression has to be coming…right?…RIGHT?!?!
Some great options this week outside of the top guys though could be Ben Watson (Rams have been week against the position), Hayden Hurst (now healthy could make some noise in a tight divisional game), and Geoff Swaim (with all the Cooper noise, I think the forgotten element of Dallas pass catching game can make some noise on MNF).
Just play the team going against Buffalo always unfortunately for Buffalo. Some tough match ups this week though with great offenses going against one another in week 9 (GB/NE, NO/LAR, CAR/TB and SEA/LAC). Best streaming options this week are; Dallas, Miami, NY Jets, and Buffalo.
|4||New York Jets||MIA|
|7||Los Angeles Chargers||SEA|
|16||Los Angeles Rams||NO|
Best of luck to all as always in your week 9 match ups!