As we roll into week 5 of the fantasy season, it is time we are starting to see some truths on the field that will be consistent for he rest of the season. Some of those truths are, Patrick Mahomes is for real, The Cleveland Browns have a lot of talent on their roster, The Rams offense looks literally unstoppable, and Alvin Kamara may actually just maintain his 2017 efficiency.
I think this will be a week we see a lot of “normal” around the league. Things we expected to happen will happen for once. You get this feeling every so often and I have it for this weekend. I think studs will show out, even in tougher matchups and longer platers and guys we weren’t sold on will show us why. But without more fanfare here are the week 5 rankings.
Week 5 teams of bye; Chicago Bears, Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Patrick Mahomes came back to earth this past week, and for him that means, lead a 4th quarter comeback in spectacular fashion. Fantasy wise he was still finished as QB11, but keeping his team alive to get the victory was what was noticeable. This guy is going to be a superstar in this league.
Cam returns from a week off and ready to go to work. With Trai Turner clearing the concussion protocol, D.J. Moore getting an extra week of work with the offense in practice, and Curtis Samuel back from injury, things are lining up nicely for Newton. Carolina has been absent from almost every top 10 power ranking I have seen from NFL analysts and they should come out and make a statement this weekend.
Drew Brees is sitting at 71,740 passing yards and needs just 201 passing yards to pass Peyton and break the all time passing yards record and spoiler alert, that will happen as the world watches on Monday Night Football. Some other big days are in store for Big Ben, Jared Goff, and Deshaun Watson. Some not so big days are on the way for Russell Wilson, Joe Flacco, and Baker Mayfield.
The big news in this department is the return of RB Mark Ingram for the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night. With Brees chasing the record I think Ingram is eased back into the offense a bit this weekend. I can see a lite yardage day but an easy goal line score in his future. Going forward NO will work him in more and we will see a timeshare similar to what we saw through the last 8 weeks of 2017 for the Saints.
I think some guys who pick up where they left off last are McCaffrey, who runs all over the Giants defense this week, Zeke, who shows out in a primetime game, and Todd Gurley against a Seahawks defense that just lost its biggest playmaker for the year. In a good matchup against the Falcons, and a must win for the Steelers and Falcons, James Conner, shows up and makes us forget that Bell is going to report in 2 weeks.
Guys I am fading just a bit this week in less than favorable matchups are; Sony Michel, Kareem Hunt, Tevin Coleman, and Joe Mixon (I am also not sure of his health status and workload this week if he plays). The guy I think I am too low on is Aaron Jones, he is where he is because I am worried about his usage but if he can get 15 carries, he will absolutely trash this Detroit defense hat has given up a lot of fantasy points to running backs. If you can get him in your line up I think its worth the risk.
The Michael Thomas catch rate watch of 2018 continues this week. He is sitting at 95.5% right now with 42 catches on 44 targets. He was not a big part of the game plan last week, only getting 4 targets, this week he gets back to form and has more than 8 targets on route to 100 yards and a score. I know I dropped him all the way to 2, but thats only because I think Big Ben and Antonio Brown get completely back on the same page this week and he balls out! I also really like Hopkins on a primetime stage against a softer Dallas secondary.
Adam Thielen is going to remain Cousins top target as Diggs pulls the tougher coverage in a good matchup with the Eagles, Julio Jones better find the end zone this week, if he can’t do it against a weak Pittsburgh secondary it just may never happen for him this season, and Golden Tate is continue his reign of terror he started last week in what should be one of the higher scoring games of the week.
Guys I am fading a bit this week; Amari Cooper, A.J. Green, Jarvis Landry, and Larry Fitzgerald. Guy I could be the most wrong about is Will Fuller, I am expecting a bigger day for Hopkins but Watson has shown his connection with Fuller is strong and Will could walk away with the huge game on Sunday Night Football.
|19||Odell Backham Jr||NYG||CAR|
I am moving Kelce all the way down to #2 this week in a tougher matchup with Jacksonville this Sunday. I think Jordan Reed is the TE that shows out the most this week in a good matchup against the Saints, he becomes Alex SMith’s go to weapon. Jimmy Graham gets back into the end zone again, David Njoku finally looks like a TE1, and George Kittle does more George Kittle type of things.
Guys I am fading this week are; Nick Vannett (with Baldwin back I think Vannett struggles to see targets that make him useable in a tough matchup for Seattle), Eric Ebron, and Austin Seferian-Jenkins. The guy I could be the most wrong about is Jared Cook, even at 8 that could be too low against a Chagers team that has given up a decent amount of points to the TE position. He is clearly one of Carr’s top targets and this is another game he could show up in big time.
Some great streaming options are out there on waivers this week. Some of my favorites are Carolina, Cincinnati, Buffalo, and Green Bay. Tennessee should finish the week as DST1 against the Bills though. Squad I could be the most wrong about is Jacksonville, an elite DST is going against an elite QB, and while the elite QB tends to win out, this unit could make a solid statement by shutting down Mahomes and company on Sunday. I am not expecting it, but it is 100% within a plausible range of outcomes.
|5||Los Angeles Rams||SEA|
|6||New York Jets||DEN|
|7||Los Angelese Chargers||OAK|
|24||New York Giants||CAR|
Best of luck to everyone out there in fantasy land for week 5!