I said week 1 is a typically a bit unpredictable and I was right about that, the top 3 scoring offenses in the league after week 1 are the Buccaneers, Jest, and Ravens, just like we all expected. Jared Cook is tied with Michael Thomas for receiving yards, and Le’Veon Bell still hasn’t reported while his back up leads the league in rushing yards…..like all the top analysts called. Unpredictable. Luckily we at least now have a little bit of data to help predict week 2 a little better.
One thing that was not unpredictable was Aaron Rodgers completing a 3 TD come back in the 4th quarter at home against the Bears. Thats what he does, thats why he makes the big bucks. With a tougher match up and a knee injury I worry about him this week, but not enough to keep him out of the top 12. Some other guys I worry about this week are Russell Wilson fighting off the Chicago pass rush, Tom Brady going up against that crucial Jacksonville secondary with limited options at WR, and the beginning of the Thursday Night Football offensive slump for Andy Dalton and Joe Flacco.
I’m high on Patrick Mahomes continuing his strong start to 2018 with Hill keeping up where he was last week and Kelce and Watkins getting in on the fun a bit more in week 2. I think Big Ben also plays better than he did in week 1 against a softer KC defense, this should be a higher scoring affair. Jimmy G should have better luck against the Lions than he did against the Vikings and both Cam Newton and Matt Ryan should perform better in week 2 as the division rivals square off.
Week 2 is underway and the Steelers have removed Le’Veon Bell from their official depth chart, which means I am still firing up James Conner in all formats. Pittsburgh was comfortable giving him the same work load they give Bell and Conner delivered. I also expect Alvin Kamara’s reign of terror to continue until Mark Ingram returns in a few weeks. He was an absolute stud last week and I can’t see his usage dropping this week in a game New Orleans needs to win.
RB feels easy to call at the top but after the top 4 or 5 guys it really is crazy. Last week Austin Ekeler, Adrian Peterson, and Chris Thompson all finished as RB1’s, while Christian McCaffrey, Ezekiel Elliot, Dalvin Cook, Jordan Howard, Lamar Miller, and David Johnson all performed as RB2’s. This week I think McCaffrey gets back on track against an Atlanta defense that gives up points to pass catching RBs and 2 TDs last week to Jay Ajayi. Saquon Barkley, who ripped an incredible run to get his first trip to the end zone in week 1 will find his way back into the end zone in week 2. He is gonna be a problem in the NFL.
I also like Mixon and Collins in the Thursday Night Game going head to head. This is usually a game each week that favors RBs and DSTs. Joe Mixon had solid volume with 7 targets and 17 carries week 1 and Alex Collins will be back at the lead with Kenneth Dixon now on IR in a game that they probably are not winning by 30 early in the 3rd quarter.
Week 1 brought a few big surprises at WR as well with DeSean Jackson finishing as WR3, Emmanuel Sanders as WR4, and Randall Cobb as WR5. I expected good days from these guys but not quite these finishes. It was great to see Odell Beckham, Allen Robinson, and Quincy Enunwa back healthy. Quincy saw 10 targets which is really impressive when you realize Darnold only had 23 passing attempts. If he is out there on waivers, scoop him up!
Marquis Goodwin left early week 1 with a hamstring issue and should be back. this week against Detroit. I like him a lot in this match up but if he misses it I am throwing Dante Pettis into lineups as he should see the end zone once again. Things I am crossing my fingers for this week are Emmanuel Sanders to continues his hot streak, DeAndre Hopkins to get going, if Tampa Bay’s WRs keep rolling with Philly coming to town, and the Carolina pass catchers to step up with Olsen out.
|7||Odell Beckham Jr.||NYG||DAL|
I was wrong about Gronk proving his TE dominance from the 1st possession..it took to the 2nd possession before he pulled in his first TD of the year. With Jax coming to town I imagine he wants to prove Jalen Ramsey wrong about being “overrated” I am all eyes on this match up. I think Brady has a rough day, but tough to see Gronk not still get his. I think he gets another TD Sunday, but I am expecting his overall yardage to be a bit lower.
Some guys who disappointed Week 1 are Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, and Trey Burton and I like all 3 to improve in week 2. Burton actually played well and should have had a TD but Trubisky missed him when he was wide open in the end zone and the window closed.
The big surprise was Jared Cook going off for 180 yards as Oakland was unable to get the ball to Cooper and Nelson, Carr only completed 5 passes to his WRs despite 40 attempts. I think Cook continues to be someone Carr relies on as he has another great matchup this week with Denver, who just gave up 105 yards and a TD to a rookie TE.
Big losses at the position this week though as Delanie Walker hits the IR and is done for 2018 and Greg Olsen is likely to miss months, if not all of the 2018 season. Some potential replacements out there are Jonnu Smith, who should pick up where Walker left off in an offense that favors the TE. He is insanely athletic and should serve well in Walker’s absence. I also like Ricky Seals-Jones going against the Rams, just like Cooks last week, I suspect Arizona tries to stay away from the Rams incredibly talented corners. Eric Ebron should continue to be a red zone threat with Luck who is going to use both Ebron and Doyle a bunch this season. Ian Thomas just like Jonnu should play well in Greg Olsen’s place, but I think as a rookie he will struggle from time to time and will likely have some boom/bust weeks at the position.
J-E-T-S Jets, Jets, Jets! If you are streaming fire them up against Miami at home in week 2. I really would like to see the Saints show up this week against Cleveland, New Orleans is a group I had high hopes for this season and they started ohhh so bad. Some other streaming options are CIN at home against Baltimore on Thursday evening, TEN at home against Houston, and SF at home against Detroit.
|1||Los Angeles Rams||ARI|
|2||Los Angeles Chargers||BUF|
|8||New York Jets||MIA|
|17||New York Giants||DAL|